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FREEDOM

Agudo como siempre

Revisado en España 🇪🇸 el 12 de enero de 2013

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Uno de los grandes estrategas de la Guerra fría, habla sobre el mundo de hoy. Siempre agudo en sus análisis. He leído todo sus libros y me ayuda mucho a tener una visión global de los acontecimientos que a veces olvidamos con el día a día.

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Suzanne Natafji

Brzezinski’s 2nd ‘Bookend’: Strategic Vision: America and the Crisis of Global Power

Revisado en los Estados Unidos 🇺🇸 el 29 de julio de 2017

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The first sentence inside of the dust jacket of this 2012 New York Times Best Seller says: “Strategic Vision is a much-needed wake-up call regarding the international repercussions if America fails to address its multiple domestic crises successfully.” Note also that the title of Part I of the book is: “The Receding West”, while the title of Part II is: “The waning of the American Dream”; both of these could easily be titles of many articles, books, films, and podcasts, etc. in today’s news.

This book in many ways does a 180-degree-turn on what the author says about American primacy, the topic covered in his prior book, The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives.

Accessing multiple daily media sources about the US shows a plethora of articles about what has happened in American life today, including the following: Detroit’s water crisis; Chicago’s pension plan insolvency and the bankruptcy of its state: Illinois and how all of this will affect peoples’ retirement (if they can retire at all); the downward spiral of US schools, whose students now place the lowest of all of the industrialized countries, with 2 special groups, ESL/ ELL and Special Ed. leaving the public school system - or worse - transferring to charter schools that the US taxpayer also has to fund but aren’t even equipped to teach. None of this bodes well for US society right now.

How could Dr. Brzezinski’s earlier book, The Grand Chessboard, pushing US primacy, link with this book as a chaser, even starting out discussing its global decay? Could the global expansion costs have caused the US to leave the center of the world stage? Who are the current global players, instead of us, and why?

When an author writes a book, especially one that is political and deals with foreign affairs, this type of book captures activities as a snapshot in time. When authors write later books, sometimes their views change. The publication dates between these 2 books is only 15 years; however, right now, that gap has stretched to 20 years, which really shows even more of a marked reversal.

This is why I recommend that readers also buy and read Brzezinski’s earlier book, The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives (1997), the natural bookend to this one. Both books should be read and - more importantly – discussed with other people, to try to get a feel for what main political themes were planned and executed in the past, the effects of these national/ global decisions regarding the US, and the blowback that has been happening to the US since then and why.

Doing this mental/ social sifting and refining of ideas and main themes helps readers understand our country’s political/ diplomatic arena and presents a clearer lens for Americans to understand how we fit into the ever-changing grand scheme of world events that Brzezinski has shared with us – at both ends (i.e. via these 2 books). This process also helps us use important, necessary higher-order thinking and communicative skills as citizens, to deal with what is happening in our country and world today, especially during election times.

Strategic Visions (along with Chessboard) should be required reading to increase the Politics/ Foreign Affairs knowledge base for every inquiring mind, especially regarding the concept of ‘global order’ and how the US currently fits inside of this.

(Please see my other Brzezinski Amazon ‘bookend’ review on: The Grand Chessboard.)

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laurens van den muyzenberg

Mobilization of the National Interest to Reverse America's Decline

Revisado en el Reino Unido 🇬🇧 el 27 de diciembre de 2012

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Brzezinski presents an excellent detailed plan on how to reverse the decline of the United States of America. His greatest concern is about government: "The US Congress should digest the ominous reality. In addition to, a political gridlock at home perpetuating Americas domestic decay, a foreign policy not shaped by a realistic calculus of the national interest, is a prescription for an America gravely at risk in the next twenty years."
Brzezinski is an expert in knowing Chinese intentions which de describes as: (1) to reduce the dangers of security of encirclement due to US security links with Japan, South Korea and the Philippines, (2) achieve a favored position in the East Asian community (3) consolidate with Pakistan as a counter weight to India (4) gain an edge on Russia in Central Asia and Mongolia (5) integrate Taiwan in China (6) be the favored economic partner to natural resource countries and (7) achieve a dominant export position in Africa, the Middle East and Latin America. That is the reality the USA faces. What to do?
The USA should use a two pronged approach, establishing a Western Alliance that covers the area from Vancouver to Vladivostok and become an appreciated "partner' of the rapidly growing Asian countries, China, India and Indonesia whilst maintaining excellent relations with Japan and South Korea. This will not be easy, as tensions between these counties will rise. The main task of the USA would be with diplomatic efforts and economic engagement to prevent these tensions from leading to violent conflict. This would involve, for example, "promoting" a genuine reconciliation between China and Japan. The USA should avoid getting involved in any violent conflicts in the Asian region, as that would destroy her usefulness in conflict prevention and containment. The exceptions would be attacks by China on Japan or South Korea as the USA has treaty obligations.
The USA has overwhelming military power but has become inefficient in usung it as shown by wars with Iraq and Afghanistan lasting more than 8 years with unsatisfactory results and losing the Vietnam war. The problem is not military power but a "going alone strategy". The USA was successful in the Second War because of its alliance with the Soviet Union and the UK and in the liberation of Kuwait because it was the leading member of an effective alliance.
The security and safety of America would be totally safe if an alliance would be established between the USA, Canada, the European Union, Russia and Turkey that would cooperate in foreign policy and military planning and action. That should be the goal for 2050. Russia is "flirting" with China, but it realizes that it can only become a junior Partner in that alliance. Turkey could become the leader in a radical Islamic Group. Here the USA has to support the European Union to become stronger and more coherent and accept to work for realizing this long-term policy.
Brzezinski presents a long list of problems that lead to the American decline being: a massive growing and unsustainable national debt, a flawed financial system, widening income inequality and stagnating social mobility, a deficient public education, a decaying infra structure, a public that is highly ignorant about the world, and most important of all, an increasingly gridlocked and highly partisan political system that is highly dependent on financial contributions to political campaigns and is increasingly vulnerable to the power of well-endowed but narrowly motivated domestic and foreign lobbies that advance their agendas at the expense of the national interest.
Mobilizing the National Will to change is possible but far from certain. It might only come when a severe financial crisis suddenly plungers America and much of the other world in a devastating depression. He also refers to a study of the Rand Corporation that concluded, " Our nation is in for an extended period of political warfare between the left and the right." The risk of severe damage without radical change is high.

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Bradley B. Ronco

Great book. Every American should read it!

Revisado en los Estados Unidos 🇺🇸 el 3 de noviembre de 2022

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Great service. Ver important book! I’ve read or listened to 2 times.

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Dr. Helmut Z. Baumert

Wir haben leider keinen solchen Zbig..

Revisado en Alemania 🇩🇪 el 14 de mayo de 2014

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Ich kann dieses Buch jedem Amerikafreund empfehlen! Der Autor geht mit seinen Landsleuten und speziell Veranwortlichen hart ins Gericht, sachlich korrekt, denn die USA verlieren nicht nur relativ zu anderen Nationen an Boden (auf freilich hohem Niveau), sondern stagnieren in vielen zivilisatorischen Positionen absolut, seit Jahren bis Jahrzehnten und liegen mittlerweile in Einzelpositionen weit unten im Ranking, wenn wir z.B. an Todesstrafe denken, Geheimgefängnisse, Guantanamo, NSA, kurz an all den Wahnsinn, der nach 9/11 kam. Brzezinskis Liste ist fast vollständig, wenn ich auch Punkte aus Erfahrung anfügen würde. B., der nicht dafür bekannt ist, ein Blatt vor den Mund zu nehmen, orientiert recht stark auf Kooperation und value leadership als rein auf das Recht des Starken. Dies kontrastiert erkennbar zur momentanen US-Außenpolitik, die auf den Erdteilen, die sie noch aktiv bearbeitet, eher auf sehr hohe Töne setzt, aber Befremden erntet. (Süd- u. Zentralamerika gelten wohl als verloren.) Es dürfte nicht wundern, wenn auch die gegenwärtige US-Europapolitik das Gegenteil dessen erreicht, was anvisiert war, nämlich das Unterbinden einer eurasischen Integration, die die USA außen vor ließe. Wenn die europäische politische Mitte noch nicht zu einer korrespondierenden "Freiheitsbewegung vom US-Patriarchat" tendiert, dann tun die Ränder rechts und links dies schon länger. Diese "globalen Hebelgesetze" (wenn ich hier was runterdrücke, kommt es dort verstärkt hoch) werden zur Zeit zu wenig beachtet, obwohl Brzezinski diesen schönen und empfehlenswerten Denkzettel vorgelegt hat. Vermutlich wird es einer globalen Umsteuerung bedürfen, verbunden mit personellen Wechseln. Denn eine moderne, zukunftsfähige Politik im Sinne von B. wird offenbar von den momentan Agierenden nicht begriffen. Die Kosten können sehr hoch werden. Was dem Buch ein wenig fehlt, das ist Bescheidenheit. Die USA als Nabel der Welt gilt letztlich eben doch. Speziell wäre mir eine Betonung dessen wichtig, was die natürlichen Gründe dafür sind, weshalb z.B. Südostasien so volkreich wurde (Wasser, gute Böden, hohe Temperaturen) und weshalb die USA nach Ende von WW1 und später auch qualitativ so hochschossen. Dies hatte mit der "Bluttransfusion" aus Europa zu tun, die heute zum Glück (weil es Flucht vor Hitler war) längst nicht mehr so stattfindet. Was mir weiter fehlte, das ist die chinesische "konfuzianische" politische Kultur, die stark auf der Erfahrung ruht, dass man in dichten, hoch-interaktiven Massengesellschaften den lokalen und globalen Frieden wahren muss. Rom hatte seinerzeit das Christentum und China Konfuzius als den integrierenden Faktor erkannt, die - irgendwie modernisiert - auch unsere modernen Massengesellschaften stabilisieren können. Es besteht nach der kurzen Phase der Superdominanz der USA von 1991 bis 2010 nicht unbedingt Bedarf nach einer neuen Supermacht mit globaler Dominanz. Es ist ein asymptotischer Zustand denkbar, der schon aus Vorsicht größere Ambitionen vermeidet, weil wir in der arbeitsteiligen Moderne mit aggressiven Ambitionen nur Schaden nehmen können. Ob wir wollen, oder nicht.

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John

Strategic Vision

Revisado en los Estados Unidos 🇺🇸 el 3 de marzo de 2014

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After seeing a video of the author addressing an audience of university students, I was compelled to read this book upon hearing a striking comment in response to a question in the Q&A session. He stated that American preeminence could possibly be regained, but not in the lifetime of anyone in attendance. He lists events in the wake of the Cold War that tarnished the reputation of the sole super power; but points out that despite the loss of confidence in this country among regional world powers, America has retained enough residual strength to play a critical role in shaping 21st century global stability. He begins with an historical review of the duration among rising and falling empires to provide a context for last century's violent quest for world hegemony, which also establishes a chronology for technical advances that have made for a inescapable closeness necessary for contemporary interdependence and a working co-existence. Drawing from his renowned expertise in international studies, he plots scenarios like contemplative chess moves, describing respective policy options availed to world leaders, and the consequential results of each one. In short, a favorable world order will require an expansive Europe-centered West with strong support provided by America. The author prescribes a tolerable but careful recognition of a rising Asia and strategies for incorporating vulnerable states into accommodating spheres of influence in the Far East while neutralizing animus in the Near East with minimal provocation among historical rivals. Success will depend on America getting its house in order by reducing the national debt, boosting educational levels, reducing political polarity, and infrastructural improvement in order to regain its credibility and respect; a prudent Russian initiative to implement President Medvedev's 2009 democratic reforms, while rejecting Stalinist tactics of imposing on former republics and satellite states; and softening Chinese - Indian rivalry for ascending preeminence, balancing their relations with Pakistan, and an Eastern sphere where Japan,Taiwan & South Korea can model their transition toward democracy, reconciling cultural differences with China while drawing the Southeastern region (Vietnam, Myanmar, and Indonesia to name a few) into a cohesive economic unit.

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Arno Gündisch

We're all living in America/America is wunderbar...

Revisado en Alemania 🇩🇪 el 20 de febrero de 2016

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Das obige Rammstein-Zitat passt recht gut zu der Intention des Buches. Hier zeigt ein Insider der USA-Politik, wie sich das 21. Jahrhundert gestalten soll..nämlich amerikanisch. Und die Musik dazu wird in Asien spielen, nicht in der verschnarchten EU, für die er öfters recht abschätzige Töne findet (nicht ganz so drastisch wie "F..ck the EU" aber immerhin darauf hinzielend).
Der Architekt des 1. Afghanistan-Feldzuges ("wir wollten den Sowjets dort ihr Vietnam bereiten") findet zwar recht kritische Töne zur innerern Entwicklung der USA und zur Sinnlosigkeit des 2. Irak-Krieges (als ob der erste viel sinnvoller gewesen wäre), rüttelt aber nicht am Mythos des 11. September und an der Rolle der USA als erste Geige in Europa. Da müsste laut Herrn B. noch viel mehr geschehen: die Türkei und Russland sollen EU-Mitglieder werden, Deutschland, Polen und Frankreich sollen die neue "Achse der Guten" in Europa sein und Rusland bitte überzeugen, den sinnlosen Widerstand gegenüber Uncle Sam aufzugeben und in den Reigen der USA-Vasallen einzutreten...
Auf keinen Fall (bitte genau hinhören) dürfen Deutschland und Russland irgendeine Art von wirtschaftlicher, bzw. politischer Partnerschaft bilden. Die Konsequenzen wären im höchstem Maße fatal, fragt sich nur, für wen..
Nationale Bestrebungen werden vom Washington-Strategen als "nationalistisch" eingestuft und sind als Teufelswerk verschrien, die Welt der strategischen Bündnisse und Freihandelsabkommen dagegen in den Himmel gelobt (TTIP, ich hör Dich trapsen).
So weit, so gut. Nur dass manche Ereignisse das Anno 2012 geschriebene Buch wieder alt aussehen lassen...Politik ist eben nicht immer rational, und ob die jetzigen PräsidentschaftskandidatInnen die viel beschworene Wende in den USA schaffen werden, ist mehr als fraglich. Was die EU anbelangt, so erscheint ein Auseinanderbrechen des Konstrukts immer wahrscheinlicher. Hat man etwa in Washington die Warnungen des Herrn B. in den Wind geschlagen?
Das Buch liest sich gut, auch wenn die Hauptsache zwischen den Zeilen steht...dafür fünf Punkte. Well done, Zbig!

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Dr. M. Fayek Abulela

Simply: It is "Tour De Force".

Revisado en Canadá 🇨🇦 el 20 de febrero de 2014

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At a reasonable high level, the author gives a scholarly summary of the evolution of the USA foreign policies. He identifies, with honesty and sincerity, what he considers the domestic challenges facing 21st-USA. He scans the World polities and international relations over the past 200 years. He draws attention to the Eurasia Heartland geopolitical importance (drawing on the 1905-geopolitical philosophies of MacKinder). He presents scenarios for a very constructive USA foreign policies in Europe and Asia. In his updated conclusions, he deals with the current three hot issues facing the global community.
Dr. Brzezinski draws heavily on his European heritage (and early upbringing), his illustrious career as National Security Advisor, in looking well beyond the Continental USA.
I hope that the intellectual and political establishment, within the decion-making and laymen alike, in the USA and beyond, carefully read this book more than one time. It contains gems of political acumen and well articulated / formulated wisdom, for a peaceful 21st Globe.
I liked the book. I have just sent a copy to a very close friend.

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Alex Croy

If you want to 'get a glimpse behind the curtain' this is a great book. Zbigniew Brzezinski is an American patriot through-and-t

Revisado en los Estados Unidos 🇺🇸 el 12 de enero de 2015

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WOW. If you want to 'get a glimpse behind the curtain' this is a great book.

Zbigniew Brzezinski is an American patriot through-and-through; his love for this country is manifest in almost every sentence. He spares no criticism however. He does an excellent job 'placing' the USA in this moment in history: giving the reader a good 'sense' of where we've come from, where we are; where the world is going from a global/political standpoint. He laments lost opportunities and squandering of goodwill over the last 20yrs or so; but offers a road map and hope for the future as well.

Most interesting to me was his strategic analysis of the 'competitor' countries to the USA for global influence. In a nutshell, there is no 'heir apparent' for the 'next' dominant global superpower. There will be 'powers' but no single player can bring power& influence to the negotiating table the way the USA did for most of the 20th century. This analysis alone (Russia, China, UK, etc) was worth the price & reading of the book.

RECOMMENDED for the concerned citizen. Buy it, read it, talk about it, vote with it.

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Mark Kaufman

A forceful, cogent view of America’s role in the world

Revisado en los Estados Unidos 🇺🇸 el 24 de octubre de 2020

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A late-in life summary statement by one of the world’s leading political scientists of international relations, this former Secretary of State (Carter Administration) forcefully and clearly presents what might be called a moderately left of center view of how the United States should best approach the coming years and decades. His policy recommendations are coherent, thoughtful and easy to summarize: do almost precisely the opposite of what Trump has done in Trump’s first three and a half years.

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Strategic Vision: America and the Crisis of Global Power

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