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189 valoraciones globales | 122 reseñas globales

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laurens van den muyzenberg

Mobilization of the National Interest to Reverse America's Decline

Revisado en Reino Unido el 27 de diciembre de 2012

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Brzezinski presents an excellent detailed plan on how to reverse the decline of the United States of America. His greatest concern is about government: "The US Congress should digest the ominous reality. In addition to, a political gridlock at home perpetuating Americas domestic decay, a foreign policy not shaped by a realistic calculus of the national interest, is a prescription for an America gravely at risk in the next twenty years."
Brzezinski is an expert in knowing Chinese intentions which de describes as: (1) to reduce the dangers of security of encirclement due to US security links with Japan, South Korea and the Philippines, (2) achieve a favored position in the East Asian community (3) consolidate with Pakistan as a counter weight to India (4) gain an edge on Russia in Central Asia and Mongolia (5) integrate Taiwan in China (6) be the favored economic partner to natural resource countries and (7) achieve a dominant export position in Africa, the Middle East and Latin America. That is the reality the USA faces. What to do?
The USA should use a two pronged approach, establishing a Western Alliance that covers the area from Vancouver to Vladivostok and become an appreciated "partner' of the rapidly growing Asian countries, China, India and Indonesia whilst maintaining excellent relations with Japan and South Korea. This will not be easy, as tensions between these counties will rise. The main task of the USA would be with diplomatic efforts and economic engagement to prevent these tensions from leading to violent conflict. This would involve, for example, "promoting" a genuine reconciliation between China and Japan. The USA should avoid getting involved in any violent conflicts in the Asian region, as that would destroy her usefulness in conflict prevention and containment. The exceptions would be attacks by China on Japan or South Korea as the USA has treaty obligations.
The USA has overwhelming military power but has become inefficient in usung it as shown by wars with Iraq and Afghanistan lasting more than 8 years with unsatisfactory results and losing the Vietnam war. The problem is not military power but a "going alone strategy". The USA was successful in the Second War because of its alliance with the Soviet Union and the UK and in the liberation of Kuwait because it was the leading member of an effective alliance.
The security and safety of America would be totally safe if an alliance would be established between the USA, Canada, the European Union, Russia and Turkey that would cooperate in foreign policy and military planning and action. That should be the goal for 2050. Russia is "flirting" with China, but it realizes that it can only become a junior Partner in that alliance. Turkey could become the leader in a radical Islamic Group. Here the USA has to support the European Union to become stronger and more coherent and accept to work for realizing this long-term policy.
Brzezinski presents a long list of problems that lead to the American decline being: a massive growing and unsustainable national debt, a flawed financial system, widening income inequality and stagnating social mobility, a deficient public education, a decaying infra structure, a public that is highly ignorant about the world, and most important of all, an increasingly gridlocked and highly partisan political system that is highly dependent on financial contributions to political campaigns and is increasingly vulnerable to the power of well-endowed but narrowly motivated domestic and foreign lobbies that advance their agendas at the expense of the national interest.
Mobilizing the National Will to change is possible but far from certain. It might only come when a severe financial crisis suddenly plungers America and much of the other world in a devastating depression. He also refers to a study of the Rand Corporation that concluded, " Our nation is in for an extended period of political warfare between the left and the right." The risk of severe damage without radical change is high.

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Heinz Dieter Jopp

So ein Denker fehlt in der Politik in den USA, aber auch Europa.

Revisado en Alemania el 6 de enero de 2018

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Der Autor ist bekannt für klare Gedanken zu Geopolitik und Geostrategie. Eine Eigenschaft, die nicht nur dem jetzigen Präsidenten,sonderndemgesamten Team im Weißen Haus fehlt. Ein Muss für Wissenschaftler und politisch Interessierte, gerade auch in Europa.

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Socialworker

Eines der wichtigsten politischen Bücher der letzten Jahre, das leider - aber sich nicht zufällig - auf deutsch nicht erschien

Revisado en Alemania el 13 de enero de 2017

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Brzezinski zeigt einerseits auf, dass die globale Vormachtstellung der USA auch durch ihre immensen inneren Problem bedroht, - hohe Staatsverschuldung, von einigen Elite-Unis abgesehen miserables Bildungssystem, soziale Ungleichheit, grosse Infrastruktur-Defizite usw.

Die USA benötigen aber nicht nur Reformen im Inneren. Um ihre globale Vormachtstellung zu behalten, müssen sie sich vor allem der Herausforderung durch den neuen Wirtschafts-Giganten China stellen. Brzezinski entwickelt in diesem Zusammenhang das Konzept eines "larger West", d. h. der Verbreiterung und Stärkung des westlichen Bündnissystems. Zwei Länder nehmen dabei aus seiner Sicht eine Schlüsselstellung ein: Die Türkei und Russland. Während er auf dem Informationsstand von 2012 bei der Integration der Türkei, insbesondere auch in die EU-Strukturen, relativ optimistisch ist, sieht er bei Russland unter der jetzigen Führung erhebliche Widerstände bezüglich der Ein- und Unterordnung in das US-geführte Hegemonialsystem.

Seine Hoffnung im Falle Russland setzt Brzezinski auf das an westlichem Lebensstil orientierte Bürgertum der Metropolen Moskau und St. Petersburg. Unausgesprochen setzt er in Russland damit auf eine Art Elitenrevolte. Denn das russische Bürgertum wird, so ist es offensichtlich seine Kalkulation, die Erschwernisse in seiner Lebensführung (Kontosperrungen, Reiseeinschränkungen, Sportboykotte usw.) irgendwann der eigenen Führung anlasten und auf einen politischen Kursschwenk drängen.

Wird aber Russland als Regionalmacht dem westlichen Bündnis eingegliedert sein, so wird gegenüber China eine Politik des Containments möglich sein, zumal Brzezinski dabei auch wieder auf verstärkte chinesisch-indische Konflikte setzt.

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Jonathan Zohr

Not as good as The Grand Chessboard

Revisado en Canadá el 17 de noviembre de 2013

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Strategic vision lacks the depth and insight of Brzezinski's The Grand Chessboard which I felt totally enlightened me into strategies of global power politics. He spends a lot of time describing such self evident things like the political awakening of the people and Americal loosing it foothold as the world's leading superpower. I do enjoy his insights on where the world is going in the next 15-20 years and what roles the EU, Russia and China will play. Brzezinski is clearly a brilliant strategist but this book pales in comparison to The Grand Chessboard.

If you are new to researching geopolitics I recommend building your background in history with Carroll Quigley's "Tragedy and Hope". If I didn't read this I would not have been able to put a lot of what Brzenzski describes in his books into context.

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Dr. M. Fayek Abulela

Simply: It is "Tour De Force".

Revisado en Canadá el 20 de febrero de 2014

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At a reasonable high level, the author gives a scholarly summary of the evolution of the USA foreign policies. He identifies, with honesty and sincerity, what he considers the domestic challenges facing 21st-USA. He scans the World polities and international relations over the past 200 years. He draws attention to the Eurasia Heartland geopolitical importance (drawing on the 1905-geopolitical philosophies of MacKinder). He presents scenarios for a very constructive USA foreign policies in Europe and Asia. In his updated conclusions, he deals with the current three hot issues facing the global community.
Dr. Brzezinski draws heavily on his European heritage (and early upbringing), his illustrious career as National Security Advisor, in looking well beyond the Continental USA.
I hope that the intellectual and political establishment, within the decion-making and laymen alike, in the USA and beyond, carefully read this book more than one time. It contains gems of political acumen and well articulated / formulated wisdom, for a peaceful 21st Globe.
I liked the book. I have just sent a copy to a very close friend.

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Mario Rimati

Book

Revisado en Italia el 4 de marzo de 2018

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Not a bad book, slightly different his view on the world from that of Noam Chomsky, as seen thru the eyes of the U.S. for Carter's former National Security Advisor (Brzezinski that is). Some small factual errors regarding Turkey with no mention of the Armenian genocide.

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roberto

Perspectiva mas amplia y mas grande

Revisado en México el 21 de junio de 2017

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Tener una visión amplia del mundo globalizado para ser competitivo de una persona que sabe de que habla ya que fue asesor de varios presidentes de E.U. te da una perspectiva para poder valorar la geostrategia en que se desarrolla el poder de los países, así como las incertidumbres y asimetrías de los países.

Rolando Dromundo

An obbligation for all academics that study geopolitics

Revisado en Italia el 23 de junio de 2014

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A precise view of how the United States should try to retain their hegemony in the world. A clear textbook of which should be the lines to follow in foreign policy for the US.The author portrays that only through US hegemony there could be stability in the world. This idea even though questionable, allows to contrast it with the study of other geopolitical projects to understand different regional or global geopolitical plans.

Even though, the chapter about Russia obviously proved itself wrong after the Ukrainian crisis.

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Ivan Zapryanov

Must read

Revisado en Alemania el 28 de diciembre de 2020

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Must read all

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ConsciousnesS

Five Stars

Revisado en India el 17 de julio de 2018

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Excellent read...

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